Deautsche Welle | 15.08.2010
Consumers vs exporters
As a result of the ban, world wheat prices have rocketed to a two-year high and there are worries about a crisis in global food supplies. In a statement, First Deputy Prime Minister Viktor Zubkov stressed that the government needed to balance the interests of grain traders with the need to maintain stability on the domestic food market. “We understand the anxiety of our exporters,” he said. “The ban is a temporary measure.” “Furthermore, we are continually monitoring and analyzing grain, feed and seed supplies on the domestic market,” he added. Some within Russia have criticized the ban, saying it will take the country years to regain its international market position and risks driving domestic grain producers out of business.
Knock-on effects in Europe, Middle East
The type of wheat Russia produces is best suited to making unleavened bread, so much of its wheat is imported to the Middle East. Egypt is its largest market, followed by Turkey, Syria, Iran and Libya. In addition to affecting the cost of such food staples as bread, a shortage or hike in the price of grain is expected to have a knock-on effect across several European industries. In farming, more expensive grain could push up animal feed costs and force farmers to slaughter livestock. European brewing giants such as Anheuser-Busch InBev have said the rising grain prices will not hit the group until 2012, as they buy their barley and other grains far in advance. Although Europe’s biggest food groups Nestle, Unilever and Danone have said they will be cushioned from the rise in grain prices, smaller and private-label food groups are likely to suffer. Those who are big wheat users such as Dutch bakery group CSM, or British bread and cake maker Premier Foods have already suggested they may have to increase prices.
Leaders divided on ban
The ban comes into force on Sunday and is due to last until December 31. However the Russian leadership have different ideas about whether the ban will be extended or lifted. First Deputy Prime Minister Zubkov has said they will discuss after October 1 whether to extend the grain export ban into next year. An optimistic President Medvedev has said the ban could be lifted earlier if the harvest permits. But a more cautious Prime Minister Putin has said the ban could last into 2011.