Lateral Thinking | 22 Feb 2011 02:03 PM PST
According to Reuters : “Time magazine’s intelligence columnist reported on Tuesday that Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi has ordered his security forces to sabotage the country’s oil facilities, citing a source close to the government.”
In a column posted on Time’s website, Robert Baer said the sabotage would begin by blowing up pipelines to the Mediterranean.
Should the dictator indeed proceed and destroy the country’s oil infrastructure, which as we noted earlier exports over 1.5 million barrels of crude a day, mostly to Italy, WTI COULD skyrocket!!!
RISK OFF STRATEGIES ARE BACK…
Article first published as Oil Prices Hit Post-Crisis Peak Levels on Technorati.
Oil prices are at its peak for the first time after the worst financial crisis since the great depression in1930s that erupted in September 2008 worldwide. Peak levels have been reached on both sides of the Atlantic Ocean i.e. in North America and Europe.
In Europe, Brent crude futures hit $91.58 per barrel while West Texas Intermediate in the US touched $89.35 per barrel, both being highest levels since the financial crisis of September 2008. However, these levels are well below the pre-crisis peak levels. Prior to the financial crisis, due to speculative bubble in House building sector, all commodities prices along with crude price were flying high in the sky. Brent Crude price was pushed up to $147.50 per barrel.
Factors of Crude Rally
There are several reasons that drove crude price to its peak level. Primary factors have been:
The relatively rising demand due to global recovery though not equalled with pre-crisis demand: This is a long-term factor assuming that a double dip does not occur. The US spent $1.7 trillion as part of “Quantitative Easing 1” that extended unemployment benefits, reduced tax rates for both corporates and consumers and increased liquidity in the market and absorbed toxic mortgage housing loans that became biggest impediment for post-crisis growth of the economy. In addition to this, the US government announced QE2 programme i.e. second stimulus programme in November to buy treasury bonds thereby releasing more printed dollars into the economy. Reports are coming that the Fed is thinking of increasing QE2 money, originally set at $600 billion. If that happens, prices of all commodities including crude oil will increase further.
Cold weather in Europe: This is a short-term factor, which will last up to the end of winter season. All European countries are shivering with cold weather spread across Europe continent. Cold weather increases the consumption of fuel, which in turn increases fuel prices as demand increases.